Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 1.593025 1.840472 2.112657 2.434138 2.803369 3.214083 3.705555
2025-04-13 1.152354 1.450554 1.806516 2.262316 2.830142 3.513977 4.400011
2025-04-20 0.944962 1.281928 1.713847 2.307110 3.100049 4.122696 5.541580
2025-04-27 0.811377 1.176958 1.676318 2.406477 3.445331 4.868941 6.967323
2025-05-04 0.693269 1.068777 1.612164 2.452999 3.718802 5.550846 8.402202
2025-05-11 0.593936 0.968252 1.539304 2.469913 3.944865 6.188419 9.857048
2025-05-18 0.496265 0.852225 1.422614 2.397904 4.019136 6.601080 11.019858
2025-05-25 0.409326 0.738030 1.289504 2.275739 3.989627 6.838210 11.924018
2025-06-01 0.358196 0.675697 1.231523 2.267667 4.143629 7.386661 13.406508
2025-06-08 0.310014 0.610459 1.158080 2.219869 4.218231 7.803500 14.707333
2025-06-15 0.292356 0.598951 1.178954 2.344975 4.619072 8.840352 17.246811
2025-06-22 0.268206 0.570853 1.164241 2.399401 4.892081 9.672526 19.503812
2025-06-29 0.239660 0.530601 1.122483 2.399458 5.068712 10.362164 21.613775
2025-07-06 0.203031 0.467533 1.025779 2.273916 4.975607 10.514397 22.678906
2025-07-13 0.188732 0.450831 1.023262 2.346269 5.304375 11.558526 25.716477
2025-07-20 0.179419 0.443896 1.040741 2.464588 5.748170 12.897186 29.554228
2025-07-27 0.166543 0.426485 1.032233 2.522879 6.066101 14.004715 33.029260
2025-08-03 0.152801 0.404700 1.010397 2.546749 6.307846 14.972896 36.313990
2025-08-10 0.135114 0.370062 0.952881 2.476346 6.316538 15.411603 38.426311
2025-08-17 0.116882 0.330899 0.878362 2.352442 6.176548 15.482622 39.665191
2025-08-24 0.106689 0.311628 0.851271 2.345409 6.327808 16.269265 42.755079
2025-08-31 0.095743 0.288442 0.810606 2.296776 6.365118 16.779574 45.215487
2025-09-07 0.093378 0.289416 0.834762 2.426611 6.891955 18.588138 51.247844